Melissa F. Bartos, Assistant Vice President, is a financial and economic consultant with more than eighteen years of experience in the energy industry. In the last several years, she has focused on natural gas markets issues, including conducting comprehensive market assessments for various clients considering infrastructure investments and developing detailed demand forecasts for a number of gas distribution companies. Ms. Bartos has also designed, built, and enhanced numerous financial and statistical models to support clients in asset-based transactions, energy contract negotiations, reliability studies, asset and business valuations, rate and regulatory matters, cost-of-service analysis, and risk management. Her modeling experience includes building Monte-Carlo simulation models, designing an allocated cost-of-service model, statistical modeling using SPSS, and programming using Visual Basic for Applications (VBA). Ms. Bartos has also provided expert testimony regarding natural gas demand forecasting and supply planning issues, and incentive ratemaking. Ms. Bartos previously consulted with Reed Consulting Group and Navigant Consulting, Inc.
Education
M.S., Mathematics (Statistics), University of Massachusetts at Lowell
B.A., Mathematics and Psychology, Computer Science minor, College of the Holy Cross, magna cum laude
Testified Before
Connecticut Department of Public Utilities Control; Maine Public Utilities Commission; Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities; New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission; Ontario Energy Board; Régie de l’énergie du Québec
We provided an independent market assessment and prepared a report describing the potential economic benefits of a proposed natural gas pipeline project to various energy consumers. Our team then supported its study by presenting the scope, methodology and findings to the media and public during a teleconference and roundtable.
We reviewed and evaluated long-term natural gas supply and demand, existing natural gas pricing dynamics, and future implications associated with new natural gas infrastructure in New England. We evaluated the natural gas demand requirements of local distribution companies and power generators and quantified cost savings that may accrue to energy market participants if new natural […]
We produced a high-level forecast of peak demand growth for New York City and Long Island between 2014 and 2020. We forecasted demand that is in excess of current pipeline and regional peak shaving capacity in 2020; estimated costs associated with serving demand in excess of capacity with i) incremental pipeline expansions back to the Marcellus […]
We have provided a range of demand forecasting services to natural gas distribution companies as part of their Forecast and Supply Plan filings. Services range from complete integrated resource planning to serving as an outside advisor to internal demand forecasting teams. Services include: (i) preparing demand forecasts based on customer and use per customer econometric […]
We provided the client with extensive analysis and expert evidence relating to its next generation Incentive Regulation (“IR”) Plan proposal. Our role included conducting an assessment of relevant regulatory precedents in select North American jurisdictions pertaining to IR plans and researching productivity factors and methods established in other jurisdictions for estimating utility productivity. The research found […]
Concentric independently evaluated and estimated the potential savings benefits to energy market participants as well as greater economic benefits in New York associated with Millennium’s Eastern System Upgrade project (the “ESU project”). As proposed, the ESU project would increase natural gas deliverability on the existing Millennium Pipeline (located in the Southern Tier and Hudson Valley […]
