Summary of Experience
Ms. Bartos is a financial and economic consultant with more than twenty years of experience in the energy industry. In the last several years, she has focused on natural gas markets issues, including conducting comprehensive market assessments for various clients considering infrastructure investments and developing detailed demand forecasts for a number of gas distribution companies. Specifically, Ms. Bartos reviewed and evaluated long-term natural gas supply and demand, existing natural gas pricing dynamics, and the future implications of new natural gas infrastructure in New England, New York, and New Jersey. Ms. Bartos also engaged with a client to provide an analysis of the existing Gulf Coast natural gas market, the client’s natural gas pipeline competitors, changing flows, and how those factors may affect transportation values to the client moving forward.
Ms. Bartos has designed, built, and enhanced numerous financial and statistical models to support clients in asset-based transactions, energy contract negotiations, reliability studies, asset and business valuations, rate and regulatory matters, cost-of-service analysis, and risk management. Her modeling experience includes building Monte-Carlo simulation models, designing an allocated cost-of-service model, statistical modeling using SPSS, and programming using Visual Basic for Applications. Ms. Bartos has also provided expert testimony on multiple occasions regarding natural gas demand forecasting and supply planning issues, natural gas markets, and marginal cost studies.
Education
M.S., Mathematics (Statistics), University of Massachusetts
B.A., magna cum laude, Mathematics and Psychology, Computer Science minor, College of the Holy Cross
Testified Before
Connecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority; Federal Energy Regulatory Commission; Maine Public Utilities Commission; Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities; New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission; New Jersey Board of Public Utilities; Ontario Energy Board; Régie de l’énergie du Québec; Washington Utilities and Transportation
Case Studies
Shifting the Regulatory Paradigm
We provided the client with extensive analysis and expert evidence relating to its next generation Incentive Regulation (“IR”) Plan proposal. Our role included conducting an assessment of relevant regulatory precedents in select North American jurisdictions pertaining to IR plans and researching productivity factors and methods established in other jurisdictions for estimating utility productivity. The research found […]
Estimated Energy Market Savings from Additional Pipeline Infrastructure
We provided an independent market assessment and prepared a report describing the potential economic benefits of a proposed natural gas pipeline project to various energy consumers. Our team then supported its study by presenting the scope, methodology and findings to the media and public during a teleconference and roundtable.
Natural Gas Market Analysis
We reviewed and evaluated long-term natural gas supply and demand, existing natural gas pricing dynamics, and future implications associated with new natural gas infrastructure in New England. We evaluated the natural gas demand requirements of local distribution companies and power generators and quantified cost savings that may accrue to energy market participants if new natural […]
Benefits Associated with Incremental Natural Gas Supplies
We produced a high-level forecast of peak demand growth for New York City and Long Island between 2014 and 2020. We forecasted demand that is in excess of current pipeline and regional peak shaving capacity in 2020; estimated costs associated with serving demand in excess of capacity with i) incremental pipeline expansions back to the Marcellus […]
Demand Forecasting for Forecast and Supply Plan Filings
We have provided a range of demand forecasting services to natural gas distribution companies as part of their Forecast and Supply Plan filings. Services range from complete integrated resource planning to serving as an outside advisor to internal demand forecasting teams. Services include: (i) preparing demand forecasts based on customer and use per customer econometric […]
